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Module 1900
Model-based policy impact assessment of agricultural policy

Farm, regional, sectoral and partial equilibrium models (5 days)

Instructors

Martin Banse, Thünen Institute of Market Analysis
Claus Deblitz, Thünen Institute of Farm Economics
Florian Freund, Thünen Institute of Market Analysis
Alexander Gocht, Thünen Institute of Farm Economics
Marlen Hass, Thünen Institute of Market Analysis
Peter Kreins, Thünen Institute of Rural Studies
Verena Laquai, Thünen Institute of Market Analysis
Frank OFFERMANN, Thünen Institute of Farm Economics
Bernhard OSTERBURG, Thünen Institute, Coordination Unit Climate Protection
Petra SALAMON, Thünen Institute of Market Analysis
Jürn Sanders, Thünen Institute of Farm Economics

Course Description

Over the last decades, EU agricultural and international trade policies have undergone significant changes. Accordingly, there is an increased need in politics and science to quantify the consequences of these policy changes with the help of model-based policy analyses. This requires the use of models that are able to address different decision-making levels (micro-, meso- and macro-level) and – if needed - sometimes even applied interactively. In the model network of the Thünen Institute, farm, regional, sectoral and general equilibrium models are therefore further developed and used for policy impact assessment. The module provides insights into the theory and application of models applied in the Thünen Model Network in policy assessment.

Course Outline – Topics

  1. Introduction
    • Policy consulting: goals, instruments, requirements of political decision-makers; theoretical models of science-policy interactions
    • The Thünen Model Network
    • The Thünen Baseline and its role in policy assessment and consulting
  2. Introduction to partial (market) equilibrium models
    • Review of market theory
    • Data basis and model structure of the applied model AGMEMOD
    • Similarities and differences between synthetic and estimated models
  3. Introduction to general equilibrium models
    • Introduction to the CGE models GTAP and MAGNET
    • Applications
  4. Farm models
    • The sector-consistent farm group model FARMIS: Data bases (national and European farm accountancy data networks) and model structure
    • Farm level modelling using the approach of agri benchmark: Typical farms and international network
  5. Introduction to regionally differentiated sector models RAUMIS and CAPRI
    • Data basis and model structure
    • Requirements and model specification for the mapping of agri-environmental indicators
  6. Model applications in the context of policy advice

Language: English

References